ESP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESP - Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp
$52.87
-2.28 (-4.13%)
▼
5d:
-3.17%
30d:
+12.61%
90d:
+35.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.98
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.24
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESP is currently trading at $52.87, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.38 to $53.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.91, while resistance sits at $56.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.91, while resistance sits at $56.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$46.38 -
$53.30
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($61.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$46.38 -
$53.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.91
Resistance Level
$56.10
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.84
Wall Street Target
$61.00
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Profit Margin
20.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.09
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$55.33
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$56.60
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.0%)
$78.71
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 4.0%)
$59.43
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 4.0%)
$50.51
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$58.84
(+11%)
Analyst growth -0.9%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$53.49
(+1%)
Market implied -0.9%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$36.72
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
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Is ESP showing a specific setup today?
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