FFWM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FFWM - First Foundation Inc.
$6.28
0.16 (2.61%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FFWM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FFWM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 13.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.73
46.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FFWM is currently trading at $6.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.07 to $6.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 700% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FFWM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.88, while resistance sits at $6.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FFWM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.88, while resistance sits at $6.54.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$6.07 -
$6.26
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.07 -
$6.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.89
Resistance Level
$6.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.85
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
700.0%
Profit Margin
-91.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 21.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.65
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.09
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.58
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→21)
$7.07
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 61.9%)
$34.12
(+443%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 61.9%)
$21.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 61.9%)
$18.02
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$9.70
(+54.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FFWM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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