FFWM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FFWM - First Foundation Inc.
$5.90
0.14 (2.43%)
▲
5d:
+0.51%
30d:
-1.01%
90d:
-3.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FFWM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FFWM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.17
27.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FFWM is currently trading at $5.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.66 to $6.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 700% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FFWM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FFWM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$5.66 -
$6.05
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.66 -
$6.05
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.46
Resistance Level
$6.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.24
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
700.0%
Profit Margin
-91.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 18.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.64
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$5.39
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$5.15
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$5.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 179.5%)
$27.40
(+365%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 179.5%)
$19.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 179.5%)
$16.93
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$6.76
(+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FFWM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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