FG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FG - F&G Annuities & Life, Inc.
$29.49
0.09 (0.31%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.03
20.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FG is currently trading at $29.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.71 to $30.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.2) is in line with its historical norms (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$27.71 -
$30.71
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.71 -
$30.71
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.54
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.45
Resistance Level
$29.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.18
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.2%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.2 vs 5.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.02
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$28.64
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$28.27
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$29.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 45.0%)
$385.69
(+1212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.2, Growth: 45.0%)
$89.66
(+205%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.4, Growth: 45.0%)
$76.21
(+159%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$51.72
(+75%)
Analyst growth 64.9%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$47.02
(+59%)
Market implied 64.9%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$19.39
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.2 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$30.63
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Leena Punjabi
SELL
3000 shares
2025-09-18
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Advanced FG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FG price and gamma walls.
