FIVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIVN - FIVE9, INC.
$17.66
-0.13 (-0.73%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FIVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FIVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.42
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIVN is currently trading at $17.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.12 to $19.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.96, while resistance sits at $19.51.
Market Sentiment: FIVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.43 (+89.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.96, while resistance sits at $19.51.
Market Sentiment: FIVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.43 (+89.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$18.12 -
$19.98
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FIVN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 89.3% below Wall St target ($33.43)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.12 -
$19.98
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.96
Resistance Level
$19.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.56
Wall Street Target
$33.43
(+89.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.9%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 6.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$16.48
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$15.92
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$17.76
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.1%)
$89.60
(+407%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 8.1%)
$22.33
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 8.1%)
$18.98
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case
$40.19
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.9
Base Case
$36.54
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.1
Bear Case
$12.42
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$19.71
(+11.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.6%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andy Dignan
SELL
700 shares
2025-10-01
Andy Dignan
SELL
700 shares
2025-09-05
Andy Dignan
SELL
7614 shares
2025-09-04
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Advanced FIVN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FIVN price and gamma walls.
