FIVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIVN - FIVE9, INC.
$15.17
0.40 (2.71%)
▲
5d:
+0.93%
30d:
-13.17%
90d:
-23.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FIVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FIVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.82
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.13
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIVN is currently trading at $15.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.29 to $17.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 73.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.22, while resistance sits at $16.26.
Market Sentiment: FIVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.24 (+79.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIVN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.22, while resistance sits at $16.26.
Market Sentiment: FIVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.24 (+79.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.29 -
$17.99
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.6% below Wall St target ($27.24)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.29 -
$17.99
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.23
Resistance Level
$16.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.16
Wall Street Target
$27.24
(+79.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.82
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$12.59
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$11.47
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$15.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.1%)
$121.08
(+698%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 14.1%)
$22.56
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 14.1%)
$19.18
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.45
Bull Case
$34.17
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$31.06
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$10.56
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.5
Stabilization Target:
$20.04
(+32.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andy Dignan
SELL
700 shares
2025-12-05
Andy Dignan
SELL
7512 shares
2025-12-04
Bryan M Lee
SELL
13219 shares
2025-12-04
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