FRST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRST - Primis Financial Corp. Common Stock
$13.48
-0.10 (-0.74%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.36
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.26
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $13.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.10 to $13.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 457.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.06, while resistance sits at $14.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.62 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.06, while resistance sits at $14.32.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.62 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$13.10 -
$13.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.10 -
$13.73
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.07
Resistance Level
$14.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.09
Wall Street Target
$15.63
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
457.6%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.14
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.81
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$12.49
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$13.56
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$59.15
(+339%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 11.8%)
$18.82
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$16.00
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.34
Bull Case
$29.17
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.9
Base Case
$26.52
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.0
Bear Case
$9.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.63
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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