FSV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSV - FirstService Corporation Common Shares
$155.26
-0.18 (-0.12%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$209.02
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.78
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSV is currently trading at $155.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.51 to $160.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.57 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $152.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $206.57 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$154.51 -
$160.66
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($206.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$154.51 -
$160.66
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.97
Resistance Level
$163.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.13
Wall Street Target
$206.57
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.1 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$154.95
(0%)
2-Year Target
$154.64
(0%)
3-Year Target
$154.33
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→25)
$155.36
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.1, Growth: 8.5%)
$198.26
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$175.92
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$149.54
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.19
Bull Case
$187.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$155.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$118.77
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.1 to 25.3
Stabilization Target:
$156.30
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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