GDEV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GDEV - GDEV Inc. Ordinary Shares
$16.83
-0.95 (-5.34%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Nov 27, 2025
0d
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1 traders called GDEV this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GDEV is down 23.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GDEV is down 23.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.42
Based on -7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GDEV is currently trading at $16.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.72 to $19.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 67.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.47, while resistance sits at $23.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: GDEV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+293.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GDEV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.47, while resistance sits at $23.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: GDEV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+293.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$14.72 -
$19.61
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GDEV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 293.8% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -23.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.72 -
$19.61
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.47
Resistance Level
$23.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.77
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+293.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
67.1%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.8 vs 6.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.54
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.32
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$17.09
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$17.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -18.6%)
$50.07
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.8, Growth: -18.6%)
$12.96
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: -18.6%)
$11.01
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$25.13
(+49%)
Analyst growth 20.3%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$22.85
(+36%)
Market implied 20.3%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$12.91
(-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.8 to 6.0
Stabilization Target:
$18.48
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GDEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GDEV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GDEV price and gamma walls.
