GHLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GHLD - Guild Holdings Company
$20.01
0.14 (0.70%)
â˛
5d:
+0.6%
30d:
+0.81%
90d:
+0.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: November 26, 2025
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GHLD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GHLD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.07
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GHLD is currently trading at $20.01, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHLD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHLD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GHLD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $19.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GHLD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 74.8% revenue growth
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.83
Resistance Level
$20.08
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$20.00
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.47
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$20.94
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$21.42
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.92
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GHLD showing a specific setup today?
