GWRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GWRS - Global Water Resources, Inc.
$8.67
-0.01 (-0.12%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GWRS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GWRS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.19
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GWRS is currently trading at $8.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.48 to $8.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.6) is in line with its historical norms (38.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GWRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GWRS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.53 (+44.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GWRS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GWRS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (5th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.53 (+44.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.48 -
$8.76
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
5th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 5th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.4% below Wall St target ($12.53)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 8.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.48 -
$8.76
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.53
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.51
Resistance Level
$8.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.58
Wall Street Target
$12.53
(+44.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
38.6 vs 38.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.70
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$8.71
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$8.73
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.6, Growth: 21.6%)
$15.62
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.6%)
$9.03
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.6%)
$7.67
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.17
Bull Case
$12.48
(+44%)
Analyst growth 32.4%, PE expands to 55.5
Base Case
$11.34
(+31%)
Market implied 32.4%, PE stable at 50.4
Bear Case
$5.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GWRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Andrew M Cohn
BUY
154026 shares
2025-09-30
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Advanced GWRS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GWRS price and gamma walls.
