What is the fair value of HAL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HAL to be between $34.22 and $37.39. The current price is $40.14.

What is the analyst price target for HAL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HAL is $37.06. This implies a potential upside of -8.3% from current levels.

HAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HAL - Halliburton Company

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC

$40.14

-0.28 (-0.69%) ▼

5d: +7.01%

30d: +11.5%

90d: +43.56%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your HAL Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Apr 21, 2026 21d

Smart Money Accumulation

HAL is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $35 2026-04-17 with 3,047 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HAL is 7.4% above fair value ($37.39). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 20.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$62.69

Based on 12.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$38.92

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $40.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.22 to $37.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $34.22 - $37.39

Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 53.3%

Protect Your Profits

HAL is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.4% above fair value)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($37.06)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 0.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $34.22 - $37.39

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.75

Resistance Level $40.25

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.02

Wall Street Target $37.06 (-8.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -0.5%

Profit Margin 5.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.7% premium

PE vs Historical 15.0 vs 13.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $42.32 (+5%)

2-Year Target $44.31 (+10%)

3-Year Target $46.39 (+15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→13) PE COMPRESSION $40.47 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.7%) $106.08 (+162%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 20.7%) $71.11 (+76%)

Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 20.7%) $60.44 (+50%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 24.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50

Bull Case $72.05 (+92%)

Analyst growth 79.3%, PE expands to 26.8

Base Case $65.50 (+75%)

Market implied 79.3%, PE stable at 24.4

Bear Case $24.84 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Jeffrey Shannon Slocum SELL 5441 shares 2026-03-16

Van H Beckwith SELL 19618 shares 2026-03-16

Timothy Mckeon SELL 3846 shares 2026-03-06

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