HAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAL - Halliburton Company
$33.52
0.13 (0.39%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 27, 2026
0d
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5 traders called HAL this week
80% bullish • 1 bearish
80% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.01
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.50
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $33.52, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.26 to $33.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.86, while resistance sits at $35.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.86, while resistance sits at $35.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$29.26 -
$33.67
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.58)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.26 -
$33.67
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.86
Resistance Level
$35.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.46
Wall Street Target
$35.58
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.86
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$32.33
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$31.81
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$33.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.4%)
$104.24
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 20.4%)
$58.24
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 20.4%)
$49.50
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50
Bull Case
$67.33
(+102%)
Analyst growth 78.7%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$61.21
(+83%)
Market implied 78.7%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$23.30
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$35.11
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-09-05
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-08-05
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Advanced HAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAL price and gamma walls.
