HAYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAYW - Hayward Holdings, Inc.
$13.07
-0.16 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-5.63%
30d:
-18.31%
90d:
-18.01%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HAYW is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-04-17 with 2,167 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
Get Alerted When HAYW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HAYW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.21
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.04
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAYW is currently trading at $13.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.76 to $15.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAYW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.93 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.76 -
$15.66
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HAYW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($17.93)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.76 -
$15.66
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.19
Resistance Level
$14.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.11
Wall Street Target
$17.93
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.18
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$11.22
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$10.34
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$13.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$28.60
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 10.8%)
$18.02
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 10.8%)
$15.31
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$20.68
(+49%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$18.80
(+36%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$9.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$16.97
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HAYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eifion Jones
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-09
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-03-02
Kevin Holleran
SELL
52389 shares
2026-02-02
Top Rated Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electrical Equipment & Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$268 | 52 HOLD |
|
BE
Bloom Energy Corp |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$144 | 57 HOLD |
|
NVT
nVent Electric PLC |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$131 | 56 HOLD |
|
ENVX
Enovix Corp |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$14 | 57 HOLD |
|
PLUG
Plug Power Inc |
SELL
24 analysts |
$3 | 46 HOLD |
Advanced HAYW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAYW price and gamma walls.
