HNGE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HNGE - Hinge Health, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
$34.90
-1.32 (-3.64%) β–Ό
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HNGE is down 18.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.57
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.60
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HNGE is currently trading at $34.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.62 to $48.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 48.8) compared to its historical average (61.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HNGE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+27.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $40.62 - $48.67
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($46.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $40.62 - $48.67
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.15
Resistance Level $44.08
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 48.83
Wall Street Target $46.00 (+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.7%
Profit Margin 7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 48.8 vs 61.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.47 (-8%)
2-Year Target $30.92 (-15%)
3-Year Target $28.57 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 49β†’62) $36.22 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 48.8, Growth: 18.7%) $60.59 (+67%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.7%) $27.67 (-24%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.7%) $23.52 (-35%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case $25.99 (-26%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case $23.63 (-32%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case $32.14 (-8%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.8 to 61.9
Stabilization Target: $45.92 (+26.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +26.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 AM
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Advanced HNGE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HNGE price and gamma walls.

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