HTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTO - H2O America Common Stock
$52.04
0.13 (0.25%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HTO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.11
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTO is currently trading at $52.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.64 to $52.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $50.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$49.64 -
$52.89
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($61.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$49.64 -
$52.89
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.11
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.99
Resistance Level
$54.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.53
Wall Street Target
$61.00
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.58
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$53.27
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$53.96
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.6%)
$82.47
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 5.6%)
$61.14
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 5.6%)
$51.97
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$58.46
(+12%)
Analyst growth 4.7%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$53.15
(+2%)
Market implied 4.7%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$34.53
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HTO price and gamma walls.