IIIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IIIV - i3 Verticals, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$22.90
0.69 (3.11%) ▲
5d: +2.32%
30d: +2.32%
90d: -12.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IIIV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.57
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.47
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IIIV is currently trading at $22.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.09 to $23.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IIIV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.33 (+36.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $22.09 - $23.27
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 29th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 36.8% below Wall St target ($31.33)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $22.09 - $23.27
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.45 (6.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.79
Resistance Level $23.57
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.35
Wall Street Target $31.33 (+36.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -83.4%
Profit Margin 7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.4 vs 19.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.46 (-2%)
2-Year Target $22.04 (-4%)
3-Year Target $21.62 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→20) $22.98 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.6%) $37.75 (+65%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 10.6%) $30.99 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 15.6, Growth: 10.6%) $26.34 (+15%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 19.5
Stabilization Target: $24.34 (+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.3%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul Christians SELL 6122 shares 2026-03-06
Paul Christians SELL 9000 shares 2025-12-03
Paul Christians SELL 3292 shares 2025-11-26

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