INBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INBK - First Internet Bancorp

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$21.79
-0.45 (-2.02%) β–Ό
5d: -3.54%
30d: +7.5%
90d: +23.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: INBK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.47
30.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INBK is currently trading at $21.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.55 to $22.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (5.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INBK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.59, while resistance sits at $24.73.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.60 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $20.55 - $22.45
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 7th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.60)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $20.55 - $22.45
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.58 (7.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.60
Resistance Level $24.73
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.44
Wall Street Target $25.60 (+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.0%
Profit Margin -70.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.4 vs 5.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.57 (-6%)
2-Year Target $19.42 (-11%)
3-Year Target $18.33 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4β†’5) $21.89 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 132.7%) $369.54 (+1596%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: 132.7%) $73.54 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 3.8, Growth: 132.7%) $62.51 (+187%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 5.3
Stabilization Target: $26.02 (+19.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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