IOT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IOT - Samsara Inc.
$28.05
-1.04 (-3.58%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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1 traders called IOT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: IOT is down 12.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: IOT is down 12.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.51
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.60
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IOT is currently trading at $28.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.30 to $36.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 48.0) compared to its historical average (97.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.68 (+77.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IOT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.68 (+77.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$31.30 -
$36.23
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IOT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.1% below Wall St target ($49.68)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.30 -
$36.23
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.85
Resistance Level
$35.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.97
Wall Street Target
$49.68
(+77.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.2%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
48.0 vs 97.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.25
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$22.72
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.45
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48→98)
$41.74
(+49%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$43.92
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.1%)
$20.42
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$17.36
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 48.0 to 97.9
Stabilization Target:
$57.25
(+104.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+104.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IOT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sanjit Biswas
SELL
160000 shares
2025-10-21
John Bicket
SELL
170000 shares
2025-10-21
Adam Eltoukhy
SELL
4767 shares
2025-10-20
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