IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IX - ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
$30.56
0.03 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
+1.29%
30d:
+4.59%
90d:
+26.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.48
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $30.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.72 to $30.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$29.72 -
$30.61
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.15)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.72 -
$30.61
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.64
Resistance Level
$30.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.77
Wall Street Target
$30.15
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.7%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.62
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$30.68
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$30.74
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.3%)
$62.03
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 2.3%)
$32.73
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 2.3%)
$27.82
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.53
Bull Case
$34.47
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.6%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$31.34
(+3%)
Market implied 2.6%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$20.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 12:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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