KE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KE - Kimball Electronics, Inc.

PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS
$23.34
-0.85 (-3.51%) ▼
5d: -5.24%
30d: -6.6%
90d: -20.1%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.11
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.42
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KE is currently trading at $23.34, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.11 to $25.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 90.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (84th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.00 (+41.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $23.11 - $25.25
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 84th percentile (ELEVATED)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 84th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.4% below Wall St target ($33.00)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $23.11 - $25.25
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.97 (12.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.69
Resistance Level $26.01
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.77
Wall Street Target $33.00 (+41.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 90.6%
Profit Margin 1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.8 vs 18.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $22.10 (-5%)
2-Year Target $20.93 (-10%)
3-Year Target $19.82 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→19) $23.25 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.4%) $41.03 (+76%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 7.4%) $28.95 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 7.4%) $24.61 (+5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case $39.34 (+60%)
Analyst growth 52.6%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case $35.76 (+45%)
Market implied 52.6%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case $15.94 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 18.5
Stabilization Target: $27.38 (+17.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.3%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced KE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KE price and gamma walls.

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