Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LION shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.22
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.48
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $9.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.61 to $10.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.6) compared to its historical average (33.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.28 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.61 -
$10.02
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($11.28)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.0% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.61 -
$10.02
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$9.18
Resistance Level$10.00
Current TrendStrong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)44.61
Wall Street Target
$11.28
(+22.7%)
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.0% premium
PE vs Historical
44.6 vs 33.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):+10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.11
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$11.12
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$12.23
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Lionsgate Studios Corp is a motion picture and television studio operations aligned with the STARZ premium subscription platform to bring a varied portfolio of entertainment to consumers around the world. The group has two reportable business segments: the Motion Picture and Television Production reportable segments. Motion Picture consists of the development and production of feature films, the acquisition of North American and world-wide distribution rights. Television Production consists of the development, production, and world-wide distribution of television productions, including television series, television movies and mini-series, and non-fiction programming.