LION Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LION - Lionsgate Studios Corp.

SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE & VIDEO TAPE PRODUCTION
$9.19
-0.20 (-2.13%) ▼
5d: -0.33%
30d: +11.39%
90d: +2.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

LION is down 5.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12 2026-06-18 with 34,545 OI. Call ratio: 94% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LION shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.22
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.48
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LION is currently trading at $9.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.61 to $10.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.6) compared to its historical average (33.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LION is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.28 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $8.61 - $10.02
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($11.28)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.0% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.61 - $10.02
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.18
Resistance Level $10.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 44.61
Wall Street Target $11.28 (+22.7%)
Valuation Premium vs History +10.0% premium
PE vs Historical 44.6 vs 33.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.11 (+10%)
2-Year Target $11.12 (+21%)
3-Year Target $12.23 (+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 45→34) PE COMPRESSION $9.19 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Raymond Burns SELL 21748 shares 2025-12-23

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Advanced LION Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LION price and gamma walls.

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