MDB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDB - MongoDB, Inc. Class A
$371.33
-2.69 (-0.72%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MDB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.37
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.45
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDB is currently trading at $371.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $390.63 to $430.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 67.3) compared to its historical average (94.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $362.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $448.75 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $362.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $448.75 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$390.63 -
$430.60
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($448.75)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$390.63 -
$430.60
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$362.90
Resistance Level
$426.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
67.32
Wall Street Target
$448.75
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
67.3 vs 94.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$336.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$302.96
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$272.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 67→95)
$382.72
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 67.3, Growth: 15.7%)
$579.85
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.7%)
$192.06
(-49%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.7%)
$163.25
(-56%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 67.3 to 94.5
Stabilization Target:
$524.99
(+40.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
2000 shares
2025-10-16
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
4000 shares
2025-10-15
Dwight A Merriman
SELL
10000 shares
2025-10-14
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Advanced MDB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDB price and gamma walls.
