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MPWR Stock Price Prediction 2026

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

$1002.34
$-50.67 (-4.81%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: March 30, 2026

MPWR Price Forecast 2026: Our AI models project that MPWR stock will fall to approximately $949.22 by 2026. This represents a potential 5.3% contraction from the current trading price of $1002.34. The overall market sentiment for MPWR is currently bearish, based on a combination of proprietary technical signals and fundamental analysis.

Fundamental Analysis: Trading at a P/E ratio of 81.9, with its most recent quarterly earnings growing by -0.9%. MPWR shows a complex fundamental profile. Our model evaluates these metrics alongside sector peers and historical performance to derive the 2026 price target. If the company exceeds its current growth projections, there may be further upside beyond our base case scenario.

Technical Outlook: The stock is technically in a downtrend phase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 37.9, which suggests the stock is trading in a neutral range. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels closely, as a breakout or breakdown from current price consolidation will be the primary catalyst for the stock reaching the 2026 predicted target.

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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • TTM Squeeze ON for 3 days - volatility compression
  • Volume showing distribution (CMF: -0.1999)
  • Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
  • Price near support at $1002.34
MACD: Bearish | Volume: Distribution
Fair Value Estimate
+6.0% Undervalued
Fair Value: $1062.63 (Current: $1002.34)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 6.0% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
1.50
Fair
Current P/E
48.78
Fair P/E
51.71
Earnings Growth
32.5%
📉

Volume Trend: Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.200
Money Flow Index (MFI): 44.2

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 51/100

Analysts project the stock to decline. Options analysis identifies premium selling opportunities (covered calls, credit spreads).

SELL PREMIUM - Good covered call opportunity. Analysts bearish with 5.3% downside target.
Growth Target (1Y)
$949.22
-5.3% (below current)
Best Strike Found
$1130.00
Exp: Feb. 19, 2027, midnight
Call Premium
$221.60
22.1% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$1351.60
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
52.8%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-100.0
Overpriced
📉
STRONG SELL
Analysts expect stock to decline - Sell calls to collect premium
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$221.60
Profit if Target Hits
$221.60
ROI if Target Hits
+100.0%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 100.0% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for -5.3% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 1 | Volume: 1
Data as of: Mar 30, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $998.09 -0.4%
90 Days $989.06 -1.3%
6 Months $975.78 -2.6%
1 Year $949.22 -5.3%
2 Years EXTENDED $898.91 -10.3%
3 Years EXTENDED $851.27 -15.1%

More MPWR Analysis

Why is MPWR Moving? Buy or Sell MPWR? MPWR Full Analysis MPWR Trendline Analysis
MPWR Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$1186.53 (+18.4%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$949.22 (+-5.3%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$664.45 (-33.7%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
37.9
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.20

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
81.95
Forward P/E
48.78
P/S Ratio (TTM)
18.54x
High Premium
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
-0.9%
Market Cap
$51,722M
Analyst Target
$1328.29
52-Week High
$1053.01
52-Week Low
$998.45

Options Activity

Alert Score
93/100
Classification
Strong Alert
Unusual Activity
83.3
IV Spike
+77.2%

Recommendation: Strong unusual activity detected. Review for potential entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the MPWR stock price prediction for 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, MPWR is predicted to reach $949.22 by 2026, representing a potential 5.3% decrease from the current price of $1002.34.

Is MPWR stock a good buy right now?

Our analysis suggests MPWR is a "AVOID" based on current technical and fundamental indicators. With a projected 5.3% downside, investors should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon.

What is MPWR 52-week high and low?

MPWR has a 52-week high of $1053.01 and a 52-week low of $998.45. The stock is currently trading 4.8% below its 52-week high.

What is the technical analysis for MPWR?

MPWR is currently in a downtrend trend. The RSI of 37.9 indicates the stock is trading in neutral territory. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels for potential entry points.

Where will MPWR stock be in 3 years?

Our long-term projection estimates MPWR could reach $851.27 by 2028, representing a 15.1% decline from current levels. Long-term predictions carry more uncertainty.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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