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MSFT Stock Price Prediction 2026

Microsoft Corp

$430.29
$-3.21 (-0.74%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: January 30, 2026
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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • • Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
  • • Price near support at $432.82
MACD: Bearish | Volume: Slight_Accumulation
Fair Value Estimate
+14.6% Undervalued
Fair Value: $492.91 (Current: $430.29)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 14.6% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
0.69
Attractive
Current P/E
29.94
Fair P/E
34.30
Earnings Growth
43.2%
📉

Volume Trend: Slight_Accumulation

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): 0.073
Money Flow Index (MFI): 46.0

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 71/100

Analysts project the stock to decline. Options analysis identifies premium selling opportunities (covered calls, credit spreads).

STRONG SELL PREMIUM - Excellent covered call opportunity. Target 6.2% below current price.
Growth Target (1Y)
$404.46
-6.2% (below current)
Best Strike Found
$490.00
Exp: Jan. 15, 2027, midnight
Call Premium
$31.93
7.4% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$521.93
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
41.3%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-100.0
Overpriced
📉
STRONG SELL
Analysts expect stock to decline - Sell calls to collect premium
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$31.93
Profit if Target Hits
$31.93
ROI if Target Hits
+100.0%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 100.0% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for -6.2% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 1,063 | Volume: 8
Data as of: Jan 30, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $428.22 -0.5%
90 Days $423.83 -1.5%
6 Months $417.38 -3.0%
1 Year $404.46 -6.0%
2 Years EXTENDED $377.36 -12.3%
3 Years EXTENDED $352.07 -18.2%

More MSFT Analysis

Why is MSFT Moving? Buy or Sell MSFT? MSFT Full Analysis MSFT Trendline Analysis
MSFT Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$505.57 (+17.5%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$404.46 (+-6.0%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$283.12 (-34.2%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
33.2
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
0.07

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
30.12
Forward P/E
29.94
P/S Ratio (TTM)
12.18x
High Premium
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Market Cap
$3,580,036M
Analyst Target
$616.13
52-Week High
$432.82
52-Week Low
$427.21

Options Activity

Alert Score
75/100
Classification
Moderate Alert
Unusual Activity
65.5
IV Spike
+184.7%

Recommendation: Moderate unusual activity. Monitor closely.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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