MSPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSPR - MSP Recovery, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$0.20
-0.07 (-25.48%)
▼
5d:
-30.42%
30d:
-55.7%
90d:
-85.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: December 19, 2025
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MSPR is down 30.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MSPR is down 30.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.02
80.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 0.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSPR is currently trading at $0.20, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.0) compared to its historical average (0.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 45.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSPR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 25.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.00 (+1404.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSPR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $0.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 25.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.00 (+1404.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-25.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 1404.9% below Wall St target ($3.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -30.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.20
Resistance Level
$0.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.02
Wall Street Target
$3.00
(+1404.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
59.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-45.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.0 vs 0.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-45.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.18
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.16
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 0→0)
$0.61
(+207%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 315.8%)
$0.67
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 315.8%)
$636.46
(+319166%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.1, Growth: 315.8%)
$2.84
(+1322%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.0 to 0.1
Stabilization Target:
$0.84
(+321.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+321.4%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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