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NCLH Stock Price Prediction 2026

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares

$21.96
$-0.96 (-4.19%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: January 30, 2026
🎯
AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • • MACD converging near zero line - potential energy building
  • • Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
MACD: Converging | Volume: Slight_Distribution
Fair Value Estimate
+0.9% Undervalued
Fair Value: $22.16 (Current: $21.96)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 0.9% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
0.32
Attractive
Current P/E
8.24
Fair P/E
8.32
Earnings Growth
26.2%
📉

Volume Trend: Slight_Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.089
Money Flow Index (MFI): 45.3

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 27/100

Analysis comparing options pricing vs AI growth projections. This helps identify if options are cheap (buy calls) or expensive (sell premium).

STRONG SELL SIGNAL - Massively overpriced, excellent premium selling opportunity
Growth Target (1Y)
$23.47
+6.9% upside
Best Strike Found
$22.00
Exp: Jan. 15, 2027, midnight
Call Premium
$4.36
19.9% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$26.36
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
62.3%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-66.3
Overpriced
💰
STRONG SELL
Options are overpriced - Sell premium opportunity
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$4.36
Profit if Target Hits
$2.89
ROI if Target Hits
+66.3%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 66.3% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for 6.9% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 1,230 | Volume: 1
Data as of: Jan 30, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $22.08 +0.6%
90 Days $22.34 +1.7%
6 Months $22.71 +3.4%
1 Year $23.47 +6.9%
2 Years EXTENDED $24.03 +9.4%
3 Years EXTENDED $24.61 +12.1%

More NCLH Analysis

Why is NCLH Moving? Buy or Sell NCLH? NCLH Full Analysis NCLH Trendline Analysis
NCLH Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$29.34 (+33.6%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$23.47 (+6.9%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$16.43 (-25.2%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
50.2
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Downtrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.09

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
14.96
Forward P/E
8.24
P/S Ratio (TTM)
0.98x
Very Undervalued
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.0%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
-0.1%
Market Cap
$9,465M
Analyst Target
$27.70
52-Week High
$22.02
52-Week Low
$21.76

Options Activity

Alert Score
81/100
Classification
Moderate Alert
Unusual Activity
71.1
IV Spike
+91.5%

Recommendation: Moderate unusual activity. Monitor closely.

Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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