NEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEE - NextEra Energy, Inc.
$92.30
0.90 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
+2.29%
30d:
-1.57%
90d:
+14.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
NEE is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-04-17 with 4,118 OI. Call ratio: 79% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.30
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEE is currently trading at $92.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.86 to $93.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$90.86 -
$93.47
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.34)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$90.86 -
$93.47
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.17
Resistance Level
$94.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.89
Wall Street Target
$94.34
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.77
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$92.13
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$92.50
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.1%)
$127.13
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$118.55
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$100.77
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$130.67
(+45%)
Analyst growth 32.7%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$118.79
(+32%)
Market implied 32.7%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$60.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicole J Daggs
SELL
4934 shares
2026-03-13
James Michael May
SELL
7161 shares
2026-03-09
Terrell Kirk Crews II
SELL
19672 shares
2026-03-09
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Advanced NEE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEE price and gamma walls.
