NFBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NFBK - Northfield Bancorp, Inc.
$13.51
0.08 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
+0.75%
90d:
+16.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NFBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NFBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.26
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NFBK is currently trading at $13.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.15 to $13.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NFBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NFBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$13.15 -
$13.50
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.15 -
$13.50
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.02
Resistance Level
$13.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.95
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.20
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.98
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.76
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$13.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$45.99
(+242%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$18.42
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$15.66
(+17%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.10
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NFBK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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