NIQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NIQ - NIQ Global Intelligence plc
$11.38
0.01 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
+6.45%
30d:
-13.59%
90d:
-30.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NIQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NIQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.55
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.63
22.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIQ is currently trading at $11.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.74 to $12.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.77 (+73.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.77 (+73.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$10.74 -
$12.68
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 73.7% below Wall St target ($19.77)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.74 -
$12.68
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.05
Resistance Level
$11.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.46
Wall Street Target
$19.77
(+73.7%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.02
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.66
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$10.32
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$11.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 23.4%)
$50.49
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 23.4%)
$21.37
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 23.4%)
$18.17
(+60%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$12.51
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL