NMRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$14.68
0.38 (2.66%)
▲
5d:
+0.89%
30d:
+1.1%
90d:
-16.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
NMRK is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-04-17 with 15 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NMRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 147% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NMRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 147% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.28
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.32
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $14.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.23 to $14.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 146.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.12, while resistance sits at $15.31.
Market Sentiment: NMRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+32.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.12, while resistance sits at $15.31.
Market Sentiment: NMRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+32.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$14.23 -
$14.90
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($19.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.23 -
$14.90
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.12
Resistance Level
$15.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.93
Wall Street Target
$19.50
(+32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.9%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.76
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$12.89
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$12.08
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$14.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.3%)
$67.09
(+357%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$20.80
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$17.68
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$31.37
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$28.52
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$9.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$17.79
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NMRK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMRK price and gamma walls.
