NVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NVT - nVent Electric plc Ordinary Shares
$112.26
-3.36 (-2.91%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.63
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.64
2.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NVT is currently trading at $112.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.80 to $111.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.32, while resistance sits at $117.00.
Market Sentiment: NVT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.00 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NVT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.32, while resistance sits at $117.00.
Market Sentiment: NVT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $124.00 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$103.80 -
$111.74
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($124.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$103.80 -
$111.74
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.32
Resistance Level
$117.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.67
Wall Street Target
$124.00
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 26.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$117.02
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$119.48
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 21.8%)
$202.88
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.8%)
$163.52
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.8%)
$138.99
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 28.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.96
Bull Case
$135.55
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$112.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.3
Bear Case
$85.88
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-09-22
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-21
Beth Wozniak
SELL
42331 shares
2025-08-18
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NVT price and gamma walls.
