ODP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ODP - The ODP Corporation Common Stock
$28.00
0.01 (0.04%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: December 9, 2025
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ODP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ODP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.88
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.90
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ODP is currently trading at $28.00, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ODP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ODP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with -8.7% revenue growth
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.91
Resistance Level
$28.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.88
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.59
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$29.21
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$29.86
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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