OESX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OESX - Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
$9.25
0.19 (2.10%)
▲
5d:
-4.05%
30d:
-18.72%
90d:
-39.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OESX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -28.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OESX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -28.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.93
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.45
54.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OESX is currently trading at $9.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.25 to $11.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (26.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 28.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.74, while resistance sits at $11.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+142.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.74, while resistance sits at $11.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+142.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.25 -
$11.07
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 142.8% below Wall St target ($22.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.25 -
$11.07
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.74
Resistance Level
$11.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+142.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.7%
Profit Margin
-5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-28.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 26.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-28.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.15
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→27)
$18.30
(+102%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 26.7
Stabilization Target:
$25.10
(+177.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+177.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OESX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
J Per Brodin
BUY
500 shares
2026-02-27
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