OESX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OESX - Orion Energy Systems, Inc.
$15.16
-3.20 (-17.43%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OESX is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OESX is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.91
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OESX is currently trading at $15.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.47 to $17.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 54.0) is in line with its historical norms (49.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OESX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.47 -
$17.52
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OESX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-17.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.47 -
$17.52
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.50
Resistance Level
$18.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.00
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.7%
Profit Margin
-7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
54.0 vs 49.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.89
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$19.44
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$20.00
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 54→50)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OESX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced OESX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OESX price and gamma walls.
