OLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OLN - Olin Corp.
$20.81
-1.53 (-6.85%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OLN is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: OLN is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.74
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OLN is currently trading at $20.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.08 to $23.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 49.7) compared to its historical average (31.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLN is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $20.10, while resistance sits at $24.79. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLN is showing support break momentum. Immediate support is located at $20.10, while resistance sits at $24.79. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$21.08 -
$23.61
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OLN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.6% growth with 7.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.08 -
$23.61
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.10
Resistance Level
$24.79
Current Trend
Support Break
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.73
Wall Street Target
$23.33
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.5%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.6% premium
PE vs Historical
49.7 vs 31.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.05
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$30.37
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$35.41
(+59%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 49.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$24.43
(+17%)
Analyst growth -2.3%, PE expands to 54.4
Base Case
$22.21
(+7%)
Market implied -2.3%, PE stable at 49.4
Bear Case
$15.46
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Teresa M Vermillion
SELL
6000 shares
2025-08-13
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Advanced OLN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLN price and gamma walls.
