What is the fair value of OLN stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for OLN to be between $23.57 and $26.91. The current price is $28.88.

What is the analyst price target for OLN?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for OLN is $22.93. This implies a potential upside of -20.6% from current levels.

OLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OLN - Olin Corp.

CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS

$28.88

-0.13 (-0.45%) ▼

5d: +14.33%

30d: +13.84%

90d: +38.25%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 07, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

OLN is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 5,520 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: OLN is 7.3% above fair value ($26.91). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$31.33

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$19.45

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OLN is currently trading at $28.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.57 to $26.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.3) is in line with its historical norms (30.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OLN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.51, while resistance sits at $29.95.

Market Sentiment: OLN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $22.93. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $23.57 - $26.91

Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 51.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above fair value)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Trading 20.6% above Wall St target ($22.93)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with -0.4% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $23.57 - $26.91

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.51

Resistance Level $29.95

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.29

Wall Street Target $22.93 (-20.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.5%

Profit Margin -1.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium

PE vs Historical 32.3 vs 30.5 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $29.43 (+2%)

2-Year Target $29.99 (+4%)

3-Year Target $30.56 (+6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→31) PE COMPRESSION $28.86 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Angela M Castle SELL 2379 shares 2026-02-24

R Nichole Sumner SELL 4750 shares 2026-02-03

Todd A Slater SELL 92250 shares 2026-02-03

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Advanced OLN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLN price and gamma walls.

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