OMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OMI - Owens & Minor, Inc.

WHOLESALE-MEDICAL, DENTAL & HOSPITAL EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$2.80
0.06 (2.19%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: December 31, 2025
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.94
Based on -0.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.83
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OMI is currently trading at $2.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.67 to $2.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.9) is in line with its historical norms (3.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OMI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.60, while resistance sits at $3.28.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.70 (+103.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $2.67 - $2.79
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 2th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 103.6% below Wall St target ($5.70)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.67 - $2.79
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.33 (11.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.60
Resistance Level $3.28
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.88
Wall Street Target $5.70 (+103.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -72.4%
Profit Margin -12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 2.9 vs 3.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.72 (-3%)
2-Year Target $2.65 (-5%)
3-Year Target $2.58 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→3) $2.77 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 2.9, Growth: -4.8%) $2.42 (+-14%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.5, Growth: -4.8%) $18.85 (+573%)
Bear: (PE: 3.1, Growth: -4.8%) $2.60 (-7%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.9 to 3.1
Stabilization Target: $3.01 (+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Coliseum Capital Managem… BUY 492852 shares 2025-08-14
Coliseum Capital Managem… BUY 325000 shares 2025-08-13
Coliseum Capital Managem… BUY 720000 shares 2025-08-12

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Advanced OMI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OMI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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