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ORC Stock Price Prediction 2026

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

$7.80
$-0.47 (-5.68%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: January 30, 2026
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AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • Price consolidating in 5.0% range for 11 days
  • MACD converging near zero line - potential energy building
  • Volume showing accumulation (CMF: 0.2529)
  • Price near support at $7.94
MACD: Converging | Volume: Accumulation
Fair Value Estimate
0.0% Overvalued
Fair Value: $7.80 (Current: $7.80)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears overvalued at current levels. Consider waiting for a better entry point or reassess fundamentals.

PEG Ratio
1.05
Fair
Current P/E
8.79
Fair P/E
8.79
Earnings Growth
8.3%
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Volume Trend: Accumulation

Institutional Buying Detected - Smart money is accumulating shares

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): 0.253
Money Flow Index (MFI): 54.2

Positive CMF indicates money flowing into the stock. This bullish signal suggests institutional interest.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 80/100

Analysis comparing options pricing vs AI growth projections. This helps identify if options are cheap (buy calls) or expensive (sell premium).

STRONG BUY - Excellent value, profitable at target
Wall Street Target
$8.00
+11.1% upside
Best Strike Found
$7.50
Exp: April 17, 2026, midnight
Call Premium
$0.20
2.8% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$7.70
✓ Below target
Implied Probability
31.5%
Market's confidence
Value Score
100.0
Excellent buy
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POTENTIAL BUYING OPPORTUNITY
Options pricing suggests value relative to Wall Street analyst target

The $7.5 call expiring Apr 17, 2026 costs $0.20. If ORC reaches the Wall Street analyst target of $8.00, this option would be profitable with a 100.0% return.

Note: Options involve significant risk. Only invest what you can afford to lose.

Open Interest: 7,008 | Volume: 203
Data as of: May 22, 2025
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
Based on Wall Street analyst consensus targets
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $7.85 +0.7%
90 Days $7.96 +2.1%
6 Months $8.12 +4.2%
1 Year $8.45 +8.3%
2 Years EXTENDED $8.64 +10.8%
3 Years EXTENDED $8.83 +13.2%

More ORC Analysis

Why is ORC Moving? Buy or Sell ORC? ORC Full Analysis ORC Trendline Analysis
ORC Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$10.56 (+35.4%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$8.45 (+8.3%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$5.91 (-24.2%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
53.0
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bearish
Trend
Uptrend
Money Flow (CMF)
0.25

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
16.00
Forward P/E
8.79
P/S Ratio (TTM)
19.02x
High Premium
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
1.2%
Market Cap
$1,525M
Analyst Target
$7.50
52-Week High
$7.95
52-Week Low
$7.80
Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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