ORCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORCL - Oracle Corp
$138.80
-0.86 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-10.07%
30d:
-4.54%
90d:
-29.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ORCL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ORCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.54
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.12
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORCL is currently trading at $138.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.52 to $156.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.5) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $137.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ORCL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.46 (+76.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $137.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ORCL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.46 (+76.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$144.52 -
$156.09
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 76.5% below Wall St target ($246.46)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.1%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$144.52 -
$156.09
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.85
Resistance Level
$158.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.52
Wall Street Target
$246.46
(+76.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Profit Margin
25.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.65
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$116.67
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$106.64
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→23)
$139.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$218.79
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 7.0%)
$171.11
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$145.44
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.57
Bull Case
$235.64
(+53%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$214.22
(+39%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$101.78
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$182.56
(+30.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ORCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-24
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation |
STRONG BUY
61 analysts |
$595 | 63 BUY |
|
S
SentinelOne Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$19 | 55 HOLD |
|
XYZ
Block, Inc |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$86 | 48 HOLD |
|
OKTA
Okta Inc |
BUY
45 analysts |
$101 | 55 HOLD |
|
SNPS
Synopsys Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$538 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced ORCL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORCL price and gamma walls.
