PATH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PATH - UiPath, Inc.
$10.79
0.10 (0.94%)
▲
5d:
-11.05%
30d:
+0.56%
90d:
-35.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
PATH is down 9.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-05-15 with 104,057 OI. Call ratio: 80% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PATH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PATH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.56
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.63
26.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PATH is currently trading at $10.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.60 to $11.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 107.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PATH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.80 (+29.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PATH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.80 (+29.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$10.60 -
$11.96
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PATH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($13.80)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.0%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.60 -
$11.96
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.52
Resistance Level
$12.76
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.01
Wall Street Target
$13.81
(+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
107.4%
Profit Margin
17.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.66
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.79
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$11.34
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$24.94
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$15.60
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 13.4%)
$13.26
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$19.46
(+60%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$17.69
(+46%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$8.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$15.56
(+45.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PATH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2026-01-26
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2026-01-22
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2026-01-14
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Advanced PATH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PATH price and gamma walls.
