PATH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PATH - UiPath, Inc.
$12.59
-0.66 (-4.98%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
PATH is down 14.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-03-20 with 17,324 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.6/10
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21 traders called PATH this week
74% bullish • 8 bearish
74% bullish • 8 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PATH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PATH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.54
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.72
29.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PATH is currently trading at $12.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.32 to $16.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PATH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.40 (+30.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PATH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: PATH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.40 (+30.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$14.32 -
$16.98
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PATH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.3% below Wall St target ($16.40)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-14.9%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.32 -
$16.98
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.53
Resistance Level
$15.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.59
Wall Street Target
$16.40
(+30.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.4%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 25.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.18
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→25)
$14.06
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.1%)
$24.50
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$18.22
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$15.49
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$28.05
(+123%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$25.50
(+103%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 33.6
Bear Case
$9.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 25.4
Stabilization Target:
$19.28
(+53.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PATH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2025-10-24
Hitesh Ramani
SELL
5000 shares
2025-10-22
Daniel Dines
SELL
45000 shares
2025-10-22
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Advanced PATH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PATH price and gamma walls.
