PAYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PAYO - Payoneer Global Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$6.39
-0.04 (-0.62%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 26d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PAYO is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.82
6.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PAYO is currently trading at $6.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.33 to $6.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PAYO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.38 (+30.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $5.33 - $6.05
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above fair value)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($8.38)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.33 - $6.05
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.21
Resistance Level $6.52
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.23
Wall Street Target $8.38 (+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 47.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1100.0%
Profit Margin 7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.5% premium
PE vs Historical 22.2 vs 19.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.72 (+5%)
2-Year Target $7.02 (+9%)
3-Year Target $7.34 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→20) PE COMPRESSION $6.44 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 39.2%) $17.38 (+170%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.2, Growth: 39.2%) $17.33 (+170%)
Bear: (PE: 18.9, Growth: 39.2%) $14.73 (+129%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.18
Bull Case $11.31 (+76%)
Analyst growth 60.7%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case $10.29 (+60%)
Market implied 60.7%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case $4.35 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PAYO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAYO price and gamma walls.

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