PCYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PCYO - Pure Cycle Corporation

WATER SUPPLY
$11.62
0.58 (5.25%) β–²
5d: +15.51%
30d: +13.15%
90d: +7.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 08, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD - EXTENDED: PCYO is 9.0% above fair value ($10.66). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PCYO is currently trading at $11.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.94 to $10.66.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PCYO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: PCYO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.55. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $9.94 - $10.66
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.0% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 40.7% above Wall St target ($6.55)
  • CAUTION: Extended 9.0% above fair value - wait for pullback

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $9.94 - $10.66
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.76 (6.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.71
Resistance Level $11.64
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 56.50
Wall Street Target $6.55 (-40.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 58.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.5%
Profit Margin 46.6%
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Last updated: April 08, 2026 3:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Daniel R Kozlowski SELL 68778 shares 2025-11-17

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