PEBO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PEBO - Peoples Bancorp Inc/OH

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$32.52
0.56 (1.75%) β–²
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: PEBO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.44
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.49
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PEBO is currently trading at $32.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.39 to $31.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PEBO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PEBO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $30.39 - $31.91
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 8th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $30.39 - $31.91
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.70 (2.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.02
Resistance Level $33.40
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.06
Wall Street Target $34.33 (+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -55.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.1%
Profit Margin 25.6%
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): 0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.96 (0%)
2-Year Target $31.96 (0%)
3-Year Target $31.96 (0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’9) $32.11 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.4%) $89.64 (+181%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 4.4%) $36.41 (+14%)
Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 4.4%) $30.95 (-3%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.99
Bull Case $40.84 (+26%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case $37.13 (+14%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case $21.39 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dwight Eric Smith BUY 500 shares 2025-10-23
Carol A Schneeberger SELL 1000 shares 2025-10-08
Carol A Schneeberger SELL 1000 shares 2025-09-08

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