PFIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PFIS - Peoples Financial Services Corp.

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$52.10
0.83 (1.62%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PFIS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.13
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.47
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PFIS is currently trading at $52.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.65 to $51.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PFIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $53.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PFIS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $48.65 - $51.11
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $48.65 - $51.11
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.03
Resistance Level $53.50
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.12
Wall Street Target $50.00 (-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 265.2%
Profit Margin 29.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 8.1 vs 7.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.73 (+1%)
2-Year Target $52.20 (+2%)
3-Year Target $52.67 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $51.25 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.5%) $147.38 (+188%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 1.5%) $53.66 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 6.9, Growth: 1.5%) $45.61 (-11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.38
Bull Case $64.46 (+24%)
Analyst growth 17.4%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case $58.60 (+13%)
Market implied 17.4%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case $33.95 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Richard S Lochen Jr BUY 100 shares 2025-08-15
Richard S Lochen Jr BUY 1000 shares 2025-08-06

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Advanced PFIS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PFIS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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