QLYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QLYS - Qualys, Inc. Common Stock
$131.90
-0.22 (-0.17%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QLYS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QLYS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.94
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.00
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QLYS is currently trading at $131.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.76 to $136.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $128.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$130.76 -
$136.66
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
44th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 44th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($143.24)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$130.76 -
$136.66
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.81
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.16
Resistance Level
$136.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.90
Wall Street Target
$143.24
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
29.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.40
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$128.71
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$127.03
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$131.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.7%)
$194.55
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$156.18
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$132.75
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.16
Bull Case
$208.76
(+58%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$189.79
(+44%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$90.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$137.27
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bruce K Posey
SELL
540 shares
2025-10-20
Sumedh S Thakar
SELL
8500 shares
2025-10-14
Joo Mi Kim
SELL
787 shares
2025-10-06
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Advanced QLYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QLYS price and gamma walls.
