RELY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RELY - Remitly Global, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$13.22
-0.19 (-1.42%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: RELY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.28
23.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RELY is currently trading at $13.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.38 to $14.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 309.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RELY is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RELY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.86 (+48.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $13.38 - $14.21
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.1% below Wall St target ($19.86)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.7%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.38 - $14.21
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.31
Resistance Level $14.48
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.42
Wall Street Target $19.86 (+48.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 309.3%
Profit Margin 1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 14.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.14 (-2%)
2-Year Target $12.88 (-4%)
3-Year Target $12.62 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’14) $13.45 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.9%) $62.42 (+366%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 40.9%) $37.55 (+180%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 40.9%) $31.92 (+138%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (151x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 151.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.09
Bull Case $29.94 (+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 166.3
Base Case $27.22 (+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 151.2
Bear Case $9.25 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 128.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 14.3
Stabilization Target: $14.29 (+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:20 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthew B Oppenheimer SELL 14583 shares 2025-10-15
Matthew B Oppenheimer SELL 14583 shares 2025-09-23
Joshua Hug SELL 40777 shares 2025-08-29

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Advanced RELY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RELY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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