RELY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RELY - Remitly Global, Inc. Common Stock
$15.45
0.44 (2.93%)
▲
5d:
-4.75%
30d:
-7.6%
90d:
+8.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
RELY is down 10.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-04-17 with 1,613 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RELY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.7% annual earnings decline despite 309% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RELY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.7% annual earnings decline despite 309% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.09
33.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RELY is currently trading at $15.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.57 to $17.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 309.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RELY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.50 (+43.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RELY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.50 (+43.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.57 -
$17.07
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.2% below Wall St target ($21.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.57 -
$17.07
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.99
Resistance Level
$16.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.29
Wall Street Target
$21.50
(+43.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
309.3%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.85
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$12.79
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$11.80
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$15.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 26.6%)
$66.31
(+342%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 26.6%)
$30.48
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$25.91
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$33.77
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.5
Base Case
$30.70
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.5
Bear Case
$10.44
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$19.10
(+27.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 11:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RELY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ltd Naspers
SELL
12000000 shares
2026-03-12
Ankur Sinha
SELL
9741 shares
2026-03-11
Joshua Hug
SELL
29049 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced RELY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RELY price and gamma walls.
