REX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REX - REX American Resources Corp.
$46.74
-0.99 (-2.07%)
▼
5d:
+18.6%
30d:
+31.44%
90d:
+36.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 26, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
REX is up 3.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 9 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: REX is 10.7% above fair value ($42.21). Market expects 8.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: REX is 10.7% above fair value ($42.21). Market expects 8.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.96
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REX is currently trading at $46.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.19 to $42.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.38, while resistance sits at $48.64.
Market Sentiment: REX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.38, while resistance sits at $48.64.
Market Sentiment: REX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$35.19 -
$42.21
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
Protect Your Profits
REX is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.7% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.2% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 10.7% overvaluation
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.19 -
$42.21
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.14
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.38
Resistance Level
$48.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.91
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.6%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 12.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.64
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$55.88
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$60.46
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.88
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.48
Bull Case
$71.90
(+82%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$65.36
(+66%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$22.22
(-44%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced REX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's REX price and gamma walls.
