RMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RMR - The RMR Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$15.15
-0.19 (-1.24%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RMR trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.56
2.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RMR is currently trading at $15.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.14 to $16.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RMR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $15.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $15.14 - $16.30
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.2%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($20.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.14 - $16.30
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.70 (4.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.03
Resistance Level $16.52
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.25
Wall Street Target $20.50 (+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.4%
Profit Margin 8.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.7% premium
PE vs Historical 18.3 vs 15.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.01 (+6%)
2-Year Target $16.93 (+12%)
3-Year Target $17.89 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→16) PE COMPRESSION $15.19 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 60.6%) $18.85 (+24%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 60.6%) $15.43 (+2%)
Bear: (PE: 15.5, Growth: 60.6%) $13.10 (-14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case $13.42 (-11%)
Analyst growth -19.4%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case $12.20 (-20%)
Market implied -19.4%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case $10.30 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced RMR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RMR price and gamma walls.

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