RMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RMR - The RMR Group Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
$15.44
0.08 (0.52%) ▲
5d: -2.03%
30d: -5.74%
90d: +2.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.07
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.46
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RMR is currently trading at $15.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.72 to $16.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RMR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.75 (+27.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $15.72 - $16.78
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.9% below Wall St target ($19.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.72 - $16.78
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.71 (4.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.31
Resistance Level $16.40
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.18
Wall Street Target $19.75 (+27.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 45.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 89.1%
Profit Margin 10.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 19.2 vs 18.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.76 (+2%)
2-Year Target $16.10 (+4%)
3-Year Target $16.43 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $15.42 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.5%) $23.64 (+53%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 9.5%) $20.28 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 9.5%) $17.24 (+12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case $10.12 (-36%)
Analyst growth -40.8%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case $9.20 (-42%)
Market implied -40.8%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case $10.57 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Tremont Realty Capital L… BUY 2015748 shares 2025-12-11

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