RPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$5.37
-0.07 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
-5.79%
30d:
-19.73%
90d:
-64.67%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
RPD is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $6 2026-05-15 with 2,121 OI. Call ratio: 95% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.84
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.73
20.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $5.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.70 to $6.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.4) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.18 (+87.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.18 (+87.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.70 -
$6.74
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 87.2% below Wall St target ($10.18)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.70 -
$6.74
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.24
Resistance Level
$6.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.41
Wall Street Target
$10.18
(+87.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.0%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.4 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→6)
$6.74
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.5%)
$38.35
(+605%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.4, Growth: 2.5%)
$5.86
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.9, Growth: 2.5%)
$4.98
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$13.88
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$12.62
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$4.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.4 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$9.24
(+69.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+69.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
764 shares
2026-01-22
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
41545 shares
2025-11-28
Thomas E Schodorf
BUY
6300 shares
2025-11-26
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Advanced RPD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RPD price and gamma walls.
