RYAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RYAM - Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.

PULP MILLS
$7.76
-0.22 (-2.76%) ▼
5d: -9.13%
30d: +30.86%
90d: +10.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RYAM trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.33
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RYAM is currently trading at $7.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.05 to $8.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+16.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $6.05 - $8.27
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.2% growth with -12.0% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.05 - $8.27
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.66
Resistance Level $8.95
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.17
Wall Street Target $9.00 (+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -70.4%
Profit Margin -28.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.2% premium
PE vs Historical 22.2 vs 17.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.40 (+8%)
2-Year Target $9.08 (+17%)
3-Year Target $9.83 (+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→18) PE COMPRESSION $7.76 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Delyle W Bloomquist BUY 53533 shares 2025-08-12

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Advanced RYAM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RYAM price and gamma walls.

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