SAIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
$15.69
-0.36 (-2.24%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAIL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAIL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $15.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.47 to $20.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 59.3) compared to its historical average (68.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.09 (+68.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.09 (+68.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$17.47 -
$20.57
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAIL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 68.8% below Wall St target ($27.09)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.9%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.47 -
$20.57
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.61
Resistance Level
$18.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
59.29
Wall Street Target
$27.09
(+68.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.8%
Profit Margin
-45.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
59.3 vs 68.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.26
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$14.52
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$13.80
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 59→69)
$16.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 59.3, Growth: 42.8%)
$46.79
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 42.8%)
$17.60
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 42.8%)
$14.96
(-7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 59.3 to 68.9
Stabilization Target:
$18.65
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ronald J Green
SELL
8450 shares
2025-10-10
Abby Payne
SELL
31481 shares
2025-10-09
Brian Carolan
SELL
84699 shares
2025-10-09
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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.
