SBLK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SBLK - Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
$22.95
0.05 (0.22%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SBLK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SBLK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.17
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SBLK is currently trading at $22.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.27 to $21.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBLK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SBLK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SBLK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SBLK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$19.27 -
$21.72
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
SBLK is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with -23.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.27 -
$21.72
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.03
Resistance Level
$23.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.25
Wall Street Target
$23.43
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.0%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.98
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$25.10
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$26.28
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 217.4%)
$208.97
(+813%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 217.4%)
$77.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 217.4%)
$65.69
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$48.42
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.4
Base Case
$44.02
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.9
Bear Case
$14.97
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SBLK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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