SCHL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCHL - Scholastic Corp
$35.44
0.47 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
+2.56%
30d:
+19.59%
90d:
+23.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCHL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SCHL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.69
6.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCHL is currently trading at $35.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.12 to $35.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$31.12 -
$35.12
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.12 -
$35.12
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.93
(8.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.02
Resistance Level
$35.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.04
Wall Street Target
$36.00
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.30
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$37.68
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$39.11
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 52.4%)
$164.07
(+369%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 52.4%)
$118.02
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 52.4%)
$100.32
(+187%)
Last updated: February 02, 2026 10:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCHL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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