SEG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SEG - Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.
$20.76
-0.10 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
-0.72%
30d:
-11.13%
90d:
+3.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SEG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SEG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.62
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SEG is currently trading at $20.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.74 to $22.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.2) is in line with its historical norms (38.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $20.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SEG is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $20.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$20.74 -
$22.67
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($30.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.74 -
$22.67
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.71
(8.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.30
Resistance Level
$22.62
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.25
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
103.4%
Profit Margin
-86.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.3 vs 38.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.71
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$20.57
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$20.42
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→38)
$20.89
(+0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.2 to 38.1
Stabilization Target:
$21.34
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
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